Demoralized as Hell: Victor Davis Hanson edition

At PJ media (via Glenn) Victor Davis Hanson talks about a string of conservative defeats and sounds a warning:

None of us know what November brings. We all imagine the race will be far closer than 2008. We worry that eight years of this administration will institutionalize what we saw during the first four years. That said, every person worried about the direction of the country will have to vote, donate time or money, or offer public or private commentary. We are going to see things in September and October that we have not quite seen before in an election, as our modern Borgia pulls out all the stops to do whatever is necessary to win.

Mr. Hanson is a wise man, his books are spectacular and he’s likely a lot smarter than I am, but take a look at his list of items in his well written post:

1. The so-called Obama crash.

2. The Supreme Court.

3. Obamacare.

4. The Arizona decision.

5. Fast and Furious.

6. The Obama crises.

I look at this list and what I notice is none of these conservative disasters are electoral. It sounds like the Gay Marriage crowd who keep telling us the people are for it while they lose election after election.

In fact if you read his whole piece only his first entry “The Obama Crash” is even remotely a political argument and it’s all about polling….

Review Obama’s bad news of the last 90 days: the Scott Walker victory, the Obama gaffes (the private sector is doing “fine”), the Democratic defections (whether senators and representatives bailing from the convention or smackdowns on Bain Capital from Cory Booker, Bill Clinton, etc.), the Holder mess, the circumvention of Congress by de facto amnesty, the non-ending scandals (Solyndra, Fast and Furious, GSA, Secret Service, etc.), the Putin/Merkel put-down, our new Muslim Brotherhood friend and ally running Egypt, the supposed shortfall in campaign donations, etc. Yet this weekend Obama remains up in the polls and ahead in key swing states. If these “bad” weeks have led to his rise in the polls, what might good weeks do?

There is one real problem with this argument, Polls are not elections, 10 days before Scott Brown’s election we heard this:

let’s not pretend that Republican state senator Scott Brown has any chance of pulling off the monumental upset

All the way till November in 2010 the left was still talking about how this rally or that rally was going to rally the left in a narrative that lasted right up until the Sunday of the election.

And in special elections the left has managed only managed wins in safe areas (Ca-36) and in a three-way race with a faux tea party candidate in the mix (ny-26), while the GOP has not only won when they were supposed to (nv-2) but in districts they had no business winning in. (ny-9).

And let me remind Mr. Hanson that the exit polls showed a dead even race in Wisconsin for Scott Walker just a few hours before he cruised to victory.

Yes we have to work hard, yes we can’t slack and yes I do expect these folks to be fight so dirty as to make a mud hole look like a bidet, but perception doesn’t trump reality. Cripes the president just won the biggest victory of his presidency in the supreme court and vulnerable democrats are still running away. It seems to me the words I used last September still ring true:

While the media will do their best to spin it otherwise Democrats in congress and democrats in states who will have to run on a ticket with this president will see this result and ask: “Am I willing to put my political future in Barack Obama’s hands?”

As does my conclusion

“Ride right through them, they’re demoralized as hell”!

As Hugh Hewitt puts it, If it’s not close they can’t cheat.

It’s not going to be close.

Update:
Woke up to an Instalanche and 17 comments in the pot I’ll get to you all. In addition to suggesting hitting DaTipJar so I can stop using my wife’s car I strongly suggest clicking on the “Ride Right Through Them” link as you’ll see example after example of what I’ve been talking about for a year.

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