If it’s day ending in “y” we have a poll showing Mitt Romney in terrible shape:
A new POLITICO/George Washington University Battleground Poll of likely voters finds little good news for Mitt Romney but a race that remains competitive.
Obama leads 50 percent to 47 percent, which is within the margin of error. His 50 percent job approval rating puts him at a crucial threshold for an incumbent seeking reelection. It’s an uptick from the spring and summer, but 48 percent still disapprove.
It’s interesting to note that on TV this split being played up a lot more than in the written story. On Morning Joe this was evidence Mitt Romney DOOM! (no video available yet)
However Dalek Media not withstanding I live in realville and in realville we judge polls by their internals and the internals of this poll have two results that say a lot:
Let’s zoom in on that
So we have a poll with a 43-40 sample D + 3 but lets look even closer at the internals. They asked a really good question:
Which of these statements best describes how you have usually voted in past elections:
Not only do you have a 49-45 split D vs R here but look at the straight/strongly numbers and you have D + 7 split.
Let’s remind everyone where the Electorate actually is:
Ok lets give Barack Obama the benefit of the doubt and assume that after the DNC convention who’s most memorable moment is needing a phony vote to put God & Jerusalem back in the platform the 4.3 GOP August advantage has gone back to a 0.9 that existed in July. That still means this poll is off +4 to +5
As I’m typing this Chuck Todd is saying in every “legitimate poll” president Obama is ahead (thus he discounts the new PA poll showing a 2 pt gap but as I haven’t seen internals yet I’m still withholding judgement on it.) so I ask this question to Chuck Todd via Twitter?
— Peter Ingemi (@DaTechGuyblog) September 24, 2012
I submit and suggest that until the media answers that question, all they are doing is spreading Democrat propaganda.
I don’t pretend I am not unbiased but the numbers are the numbers, if you have the numbers to back up what you say, provide them, if you don’t then you are simply an in-kind contribution to the Barack Obama campaign.
BTW I call the MSM the “Dalek Media” because no matter what MSM show you see they all look alike, all sound alike and if you dare speak words that contradict their liberal narrative this is their reaction:
Not only do we have a D+8 sample on this poll but when it’s known that Democrats do better with women and the GOP with men this poll has a +6 split women over men.
Update 2: Heard back from the reporter who did the initial story on the PA poll, internals go out tomorrow but he directed me to this link which shows a D+6 sample
First, our ratio of interviews conducted with Republicans and Democrats in our recent polls (49D – 43R) gives Democrats a 6-point advantage based on the fact that Democrats outnumber Republicans in actual registration. However, this ratio is slightly more Republican based on both national and state polling showing that Republicans are more likely to vote than Democrats this year given high intensity among Republicans who strongly disapprove of the President’s job performance. Nonetheless, this +6 Democratic advantage is only one point less Democrat than the 7-point advantage these same exit polls gave Democrats in the 2008 presidential election.
Oh and fixed a bad link.