If anyone tells you that they know what’s going to happen today in NH they are full of it.
However while the actual results of the evening are totally up in the air, the MSM memes for today are completely predictable.
If Donald wins this by more than 10 pts
MSM will start talking inevitably and declare that only the #2 finisher (unless it’s Ted Cruz) has a prayer to stop him and the talk will be if the establishment decides to go all in.
If Donald trump wins by less that 10 pts (my best guess)
MSM meme will be Trump is vulnerable and MSM will extol the virtues of any 2nd or 3rd place finisher not named Ted Cruz as the alternative to Trump.
If Trump loses to any person not named Ted Cruz.
Said person will be lionized and the Trump campaign declared a paper tiger, they will really cheer if it’s a Bush or Kasich.
If Trump loses to Ted Cruz
Mass Seppuku among members of the MSM and the Party will go all out to push whoever is 2nd.
See above if he wins
If Cruz finishes in 2nd or 3rd.
Media will pretend he doesn’t exist and will push the other 2nd or 3rd place finisher , if he gets 3rd by less that 2 pts they’ll push the 4th place person as advancing too.
If Cruz finishes 4th or below , even by one vote
MSM will treat him as a one trick pony and pretend his national campaign is doomed.
If Rubio finishes 2nd or 3rd
He will be pushed as he alternative to Donald Trump unless a governor finishes 2nd then Rubio will be hit as a guy on the decline.
If Rubio finishes 5th or below
He will be written off by the MSM
JEB BUSH, JOHN KASICH, CHRIS CHRISTIE (who can tell the difference anymore?)
If any one of them finish in 2nd -4th
Said candidate will be dubbed the “Winner” of NH Establishment primary which will be treated as more important than actually winning.. If more than 1 finishes in the top 4 both will be cheered.
If the finish is 2nd place said candidate will be treated as if they actual won NH even if they are 20+ pts behind the winner.
Any finish by a gov below 4th and said candidate will be told it’s time to go.
Note Jeb Bush will be treated as if he finished one level ahead of whatever spot he finishes at.
Unless he finishes 4th or above he will be totally ignored except to blame Ted Cruz for said finish.
MSM will do their best to keep Carson in the race in the hope that he will hurt Ted Cruz in the south.
Unless she finishes top 4 MSM will say it’s time to go. If she finishes top 4 with Cruz and Rubio may become de facto Establishment alternative
If he finishes about any other candidate it will be treated as a victory. If he does not then he’ll tweet out that he’s now in the top 5-8 depending on how many candidates drop out.
MY PREDICTION: The only candidate that drops out post NH is Chris Christie unless Kasich finishes 6th then he’ll consider it.
If Sanders wins by less that 15 points.
MSM will treat result as a great Clinton Comeback and Bill will talk about Hillary as the 2nd coming of the comeback kid. If it’s single digits it will be considered the Clinton miracle.
If Sanders wins by 15+
Bloomberg is in, Biden is maybe in and Hillary & Bill launch an all out campaign to destroy him that will make the attacks at Ken Starr look like nothing.
If somehow Hillary Clinton wins
It’s all over for Bernie & the FBI investigation
The chances of Hillary being indicted are directly related to how well she does.
My best guess (Bernie by 12)
All of this is fun but remember this above all:
The actual results are secondary to the the meme the MSM wants to push, those have already been determined. The only question is will the results allow those memes to be credible.
Today my plan had been to take a day off of work, head to NH, visit some polling places and finish at the Ted Cruz event in Hollis.
Instead I’m in bed, unable to stand for more than a few minutes with my head spinning and unable to hold down even dry cereal.
The irony is that these symptoms which are considered normal in the aftermath aftermath of my illness could go on for months and continue to cost me days of work that I can’t afford to miss.
So if you are both able and inclined I’d really appreciate it if you’d help by hitting DaTipJar.
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